你的球隊有清楚的「進攻規則」嗎？

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上週，我們聊到日本是如何通過系統性的自我分析，明確定位了自己的國家籃球風格。我也結合了日本篮协的两份重磅报告《Basketball Japan’s Way 2023》和《2020東京奧運技術報告》，試著回答以下三個關鍵問題：

我們到底該打什麼風格的籃球？
要打這種風格，球員需要具備什麼能力？
我們該如何培養出適合這種風格的球員？

這一期，我想和你分享2020年疫情期間我參加的一場難忘的線上講座。

當時，日本男籃的阿根廷籍助教Herman Mandole（赫爾曼・曼多雷）分享了球隊的「擋拆進攻體系」，並說明球隊是如何以數據分析為基礎打造這個體系，然後轉化成明確的球隊準則與規則，

這場講座之所以一直留在我心中，是因為它展示了：

球隊如何確定最有效的出手選擇（而非胡亂出手）
如何設計戰術以創造最有效的出手選擇（而非隨便跑戰術）

用明確規則打造系統

Mandole教練提到的第一個關鍵就是：

數據決定進攻選擇

當時，日本男籃透過數據分析，設定出明確的出手選擇順位：

上籃
罰球
無干擾的三分球
非背框的內線進攻（Floaters/Runners）
利用錯位打背框（終結或製造機會）

值得一提的是，日本男籃特別避免了低效益的中距離跳投（Midrange Pull-up）。但他們也有一個很特殊的例外：

這個例外是富樫勇樹（Yuki Togashi）。

透過數據分析，富樫的中距離急停跳投效率竟然高過一般上籃。當時的主教練Julio Lamas（拉馬斯）因此特別允許富樫進行這類出手。

這個例子特別重要，因為它告訴我們： 讓數據而非球員個人喜好，來決定出手的選擇。

這種方式帶來了球隊進攻端的明確性，消除了球場上的模糊不清與猶豫。

如何利用數據做出更好的決策？

Mandole教練提到了「每回合進攻得分」（Points Per Possession, PPP）的概念，日本整個進攻體系都建立在提高PPP上。以下是具體數據分析：

上籃與罰球：約1.15 ~ 1.5分/每回合進攻
無干擾三分球：約1.08分/每回合進攻
受到干擾的三分球：約0.75分/每回合進攻
中距離跳投：一般低於上述數據（富樫勇樹是唯一特例）

日本男籃並非隨口說「不要投中距離」，而是根據實際數據追蹤、分析並證明：中距離投籃的價值通常不夠高，除非數據證明你確實例外。

Mandole也分享了日本男籃如何透過數據分析對手的防守習慣（例如Hedge、Drop、Ice或Switch），來選擇最有效的擋拆（Pick-and-Roll）策略：

Top P&R（頂部擋拆）：創造中鋒pop-out投外線的機會
Shake P&R（側邊拉開擋拆）：用於防守積極Hedge或Switch的球隊
Step-up P&R（角度擋拆）：應對Hedge或Switch的球隊
Side P&R（側翼擋拆）：適合快速轉換進攻

日本的系統不僵化，而是根據實戰情況及數據不斷調整。

空間、跑位與決策速度：日本系統的基石

日本隊在實踐上述進攻哲學時，有一些非常明確且不可妥協的規則：

1）清晰的空間與跑位原則（4外1內）

球場上，任何時候都不能讓兩個球員處於同一條橫線上（水平對齊）。這是為了避免讓防守者輕易一守二，導致進攻效率下降。
無球球員必須保持不停的移動，創造空間與機會。在日本隊的理念裡，站在原地不動，不僅僅是懶散，更是一種「自私」的行為。
禁區內的大個球員必須不斷地移動與調整位置，創造對位上的優勢與錯位。日本大個子不一定有身材上的優勢，但透過靈活跑動，能更有效地得分。

2）快速且明確的決策（兩秒法則）

Mandole教練也強調了日本隊嚴格遵守的「兩秒法則」：

球員拿到球之後，必須在兩秒內迅速做出判斷（投籃、傳球或切入）。
透過這樣的規則，讓球隊始終能創造以多打少（2對1或3對2）的局面，避免停滯不動的單打或二對二攻防。

這種清晰的規定，大幅提高了進攻效率和球員的決策能力。

我們如何具體實踐？

我相信馬來西亞能從中學習許多。我們或許也欠缺NBA級的身材或天賦，但我們也能打造自己的聰明、有效率的系統。

以下是你能實際運用的五個步驟：

1）找出你的球隊特質（Identity）

分析你的球員特點：速度型？高壯型？還是靈活多變型？明確定位自己適合的球風。

2）收集並相信數據

從現在開始，追蹤自己球隊每次出手的效率（PPP）。不要猜測，用數據找到真正有效的打法。或許你也會找到屬於你們球隊的「富樫勇樹」，以數據為基礎，適時開放特例。

3）制定清晰的進攻規則

訂出明確的跑位與站位（例如日本的「四外一內」），並嚴格要求球員不停移動。不動不只是懶散，更是一種自私。

4）訓練快速決策

訓練球員使用「兩秒規則」：一拿到球必須迅速做出決定（投、傳或切入），透過不斷的訓練，將決策能力培養成直覺。

5）擋拆策略針對對手調整

分析對手的防守習慣，針對性地改變擋拆策略。保持戰術簡單，確保球員能根據實際狀況迅速做出調整。

將原則轉化為習慣

日本籃球的崛起並非一蹴而就。那是一連串明確決策、不斷紀律訓練，以及持續學習文化的成果。他們深知：偉大的球隊並非僅靠天賦建成，而是靠習慣、系統與共同信念支撐起來的。

在籃球場上，清晰勝過混亂，效率勝過花招，系統勝過天賦。

現在，換你上場

日本的經驗告訴我們：抽象的籃球哲學，是可以被轉化為明確規則與日常習慣的。問題不再是「能不能做到」，而是你「何時開始實行」。

誠實地問問自己：我的籃球風格是什麼？我該如何把它明確地轉化為一套可以執行、能夠贏球的系統？

我真的很想聽聽你的想法。歡迎直接回信告訴我：如果讓你選擇，你會率先在你的球隊或訓練中實踐日本男籃的哪一項原則？

讓我們一起持續學習、調整與成長。

下週見，

— Jordan

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🇬🇧 ENGLISH VERSION

How Japan Turned Simple Principles Into Scoring Efficiency

Last week, we explored how Japan systematically analyzed its own strengths and clearly defined its national basketball identity. Drawing from two key reports—Basketball Japan’s Way 2023 and the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Technical Report—I tried to answer three critical questions:

What style of basketball should we play?
What kind of players are needed to play that style?
How do we develop those players effectively?

This week, I want to share with you a memorable webinar I attended during the 2020 pandemic.

In that session, Herman Mandole, the Argentine assistant coach of Japan’s men’s national team at the time, broke down their pick-and-roll offensive system and explained how they built it using data-driven analysis, turning that into clear principles and rules for the team to follow.

What stuck with me was this:

How Japan identified their most efficient shot options (instead of settling for random attempts)
How they designed their tactics to consistently create those efficient shot opportunities (instead of just running plays for the sake of it)

Clear Rules and Principles

Ideas alone don’t build teams. Clear, measurable principles do. Japan knew their limitations—smaller players, fewer elite athletes—and deliberately built their system around efficiency and teamwork.

Mandole’s first insight: Define clearly what shots you actually want. Here was their hierarchy, backed by hard data:

Layups (highest efficiency)
Free throws
Open three-pointers (uncontested)
Finish around basket without post up (runners, floaters)
Post up with advantage to finish or create.

Notice anything missing?

Midrange pull-ups. These shots are typically inefficient. Japan cut them out almost entirely—except for one remarkable exception: Yuki Togashi.

Togashi’s midrange pull-up was statistically exceptional. His data showed higher points-per-possession (PPP) than even layups. Coach Julio Lamas didn’t grant exceptions based on favoritism. He did it based on facts.

Togashi’s data justified special permission—proving a crucial point: Data, not ego, decides your shots.

The result? Everyone on the team knew exactly what shots were good shots. No guesswork, no debate. Just clear rules.

How Japan Uses Data to Make Better Decisions

Speaking of data, let’s talk about Points Per Possession (PPP). Japan’s entire offensive system is built around maximizing this metric. Here’s how the numbers guided their principles:

Layups and Free Throws: Approximately 1.15 ~ 1.5 PPP
Open Threes: Approximately 1.08 PPP
Contested Threes: Approximately 0.75 PPP
Midrange Pull-ups: Typically much lower PPP (with Togashi’s rare exception)

Japan didn't simply say, "no midrange." They tracked it, analyzed it, and proved it wasn't worth the risk—except for that carefully verified exception. Decisions were based on evidence, not personal preference.

This detailed data-driven approach also shaped their pick-and-roll decisions. Mandole shared how Japan meticulously analyzed opponent defenses (hedge, drop, ice, switch) and adapted their pick-and-roll sets accordingly:

Top pick-and-roll to exploit their stretch 4 in pop-out situations
Shake pick-and-roll against aggressive hedges or switches
Step-up pick-and-roll to attack switching or hedging defenses
Side pick-and-roll as an early offensive action

Their system wasn't static—it was constantly evolving based on real-time data. The players learned to trust the numbers, and it paid off consistently.

Lessons We Can Learn and Apply

Japan’s story isn’t just inspiring—it’s practical. Malaysia (and other developing basketball nations) faces similar constraints. We may lack NBA-level height or elite athleticism. But we can build smart, efficient systems just like Japan.

Here's how you can adapt Japan’s playbook for your team, no matter your level:

1) Define Your Basketball Identity

What kind of players do you actually have? Small and quick, tall and strong, or versatile and skilled? Be honest. Define your strengths and align your style accordingly.

2) Measure and Trust the Data

Start tracking shot efficiency in your own practices and games. Prioritize the shots with higher PPP. Don't guess—know exactly what works.

Find your own “Togashi”—someone whose unique skillset demands an exception. The data, not personal bias, decides.

3) Clarify Your Offensive Rules

Clearly communicate spacing rules (like Japan’s "4-out-1-in") and insist on constant off-ball movement. Remind players that standing still isn't neutral—it’s selfishness.

4) Develop Quick Decision-making Habits

Train your team to use a “2-second rule”: catch, read, and react immediately. Drill regularly to build this decisive instinct into their muscle memory.

5) Scout and Adapt Your Pick-and-Roll Strategies

Understand your opponents' defensive tendencies and strategically adapt your pick-and-roll offense. Keep your playbook simple enough for quick, effective adjustments based on scouting reports.

Turning Principles into Habits

Japan’s success didn’t come overnight. It was the product of clear decisions, constant discipline, and a culture of learning.

They understood that great teams aren’t built just by talent—they’re built by habits, systems, and shared beliefs.

In basketball, clarity beats confusion, efficiency beats flair, and systems beat raw talent alone—every single time.

Now It’s Your Turn

Japan's approach turned an abstract basketball philosophy into a clear system of rules and habits. It's no longer a question of "if" it can be done—it’s simply "how" quickly you can start.

Ask yourself honestly: What’s my basketball identity? And how can I clearly translate it into a winning system?

I'd genuinely love to hear from you. Hit reply and tell me: Which of Japan’s rules would you implement first in your own coaching or playing strategy?

Let’s keep learning, adapting, and growing—together.

Until next week,